2025 Playoff Picture: Jaguars First in South Through Week 16

John Oehser

JACKSONVILLEWelcome to the Jaguars' playoff tracker.

Each week during the final weeks of the 2025 NFL regular season, we'll update where the Jaguars stand in the AFC South race and the AFC race.

The Jaguars on Sunday beat the AFC West-leading Denver Broncos, 34-20, at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Col.a victory that kept them in sole possession of first place in the AFC South and enhanced their position in the AFC standings.

The Jaguars (11-4) can clinch their first postseason appearance since 2022 and their ninth in franchise history if the Indianapolis Colts (8-6) tie with or lose to the San Francisco 49ers (10-4) in San Francisco, Cal., Monday night.

The NFL will update its Week 17 official clinching scenarios Tuesday and we will update this story accordingly.

The Jaguars, who have won their last 6 games and 7 of their last 8, remain a game ahead of the Houston Texans (9-5) in the division and 2.5 games ahead of the third-place Colts (8-6). They remain seeded No. 3 in the AFC, a game behind the Broncos (12-3) and the New England Patriots (12-3) for the top seed with two regular-season games remaining.

Here's a look at where the Jaguars stand:

AFC SouthStandings

(11-4)

1

Jacksonville Jaguars

Remaining Schedule: @ IND, vs. TEN

(10-5)

2

Houston Texans

Remaining Schedule: @ LAC, vs. IND

(8-6)

3

Indianapolis Colts

Remaining Schedule: vs. SF (MNF), vs. JAX, @ HOU

(3-12)

4

Tennessee Titans

Remaining Schedule: vs. NO, @ JAX

What happened this week:The Jaguars beat the 12-3 Broncos in Denver; the Texans beat the 2-13 Las Vegas Raiders, 23-21, in Houston; the Colts visit the 49ers Monday; the Titans beat the 6-9 Kansas City Chiefs, 26-9, in Nashville.

What's next:The Jaguars visit the Colts Sunday; the Texans visit the Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) Sunday; the Titans play host to the New Orleans Saints (5-10) Sunday.

Outlook:The Jaguars hold a 1-game lead on the Texans and a 2.5 game lead on the Colts with 2 regular-season games remaining. The Jaguars and Texans split their games this season, with the Jaguars winning 17-10 in Jacksonville in Week 3 and the Texans winning 36-29 in Houston in Week 10. The Texans play host to the Colts in Week 18.

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2025 AFC Standings

(12-3)

1

Denver Broncos

AFC West leaders; Clinched a playoff spot

(12-3)

2

New England Patriots

AFC East leaders; Clinched a playoff spot

(11-4)

3

Jacksonville Jaguars

AFC South leaders

(9-6)

4

Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC North leaders

(11-4)

5

Los Angeles Chargers

(11-4)

6

Buffalo Bills

(10-5)

7

Houston Texans

(8-6)

8

Indianapolis Colts

(7-8)

9

Baltimore Ravens

(6-9)

10

Kansas City Chiefs

Eliminated

(6-9)

11

Miami Dolphins

Eliminated

(5-10)

12

Cincinnati Bengals

Eliminated

(3-12)

13

New York Jets

Eliminated

(3-12)

T-14

2

Tennessee Titans

Eliminated

(3-12)

14

Cleveland Browns

Eliminated

(2-13)

15

Las Vegas Raiders

Eliminated

Outlook:The Jaguars with Sunday's victory maintained their status as the No. 3 seed in the AFC, a game behind both the Broncos and the Patriots. The Jaguars can clinch a playoff spot if the Colts lose Monday. The Broncos currently hold the No. 1 seed over the Patriots because of a better record in common games, with the Patriots clinching a playoff spot with a 28-24 victory over the Ravens Sunday night. The Jaguars will be the No. 1 seed if they finish in a three-way tie with the Broncos and Patriots.

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